TonyWilliams
Well-known member
- Joined
- Apr 14, 2013
- Messages
- 572
SenorChispa said:Don't get me wrong. I believe Tesla will succeed, just don't expect to ever be able to charge your Spark or Leaf at one of their stations.
I do think that chademo will eventually succumb to SAE in the long run, despite chademo's early momentum, and that both standards will coexist for at least 5 years. The best case scenario for drivers is adapters that allow us to charge at either type. Worst case is a dragged out standards battle driven by makers hoping to cripple each other in the market.
Well, first the good news from my perspective. When I first started posting on this forum about these issues, I wasn't too surprised to see the complete naïveté. But, now we are finally getting folks to grasp the situation. Plus, I feel that I have accomplished my goal of educating folks on the issues. If you still want to spend the money for a Spark with a Frankenplug, at least you should have a grasp of what that might actually get you, today and in the future.
Surely, the real Franken-simple math doesn't add up for me with an overwhelming Frankenplug presence anywhere, except where regulators can be flamboozled by the core supporters of GM and BMW. I will readily accept that Germany will fall to the German company Mennekes based Frankenplug. Yet another quick charge standard, Chameleon by Renault, is quickly sprouting up throughout France and elsewhere. Let's write off France to Chameleon. The rest of Europe, including Germany and France, already has about 1000 CHAdeMO stations and growing fast. Superchargers will also be all over Europe within two years.
But, in the USA, only GM is pushing for Frankenplug, yet they have no volume production EV of any kind on the horizon. Oh, sure, they'll pump out press releases of building cars to take on Tesla, but I don't honestly believe they will even try anytime soon.
For the record, BMW plans to sell its i3 in Japan with a CHAdeMO port. This move was so poorly planned that it left them putting the J1772 charge port under the hood !!! VW has also said it will sell its EVs with CHAdeMO in Japan. Tesla, too. Of course, GM won't sell any Spark EVs there, as they concentrate on merely meeting minimum CARB-ZEV requirements in Oregon and California.
To all you Frankenplug believers, good luck. The four current world leaders of EVs in the world, Nissan (80,000), Mitsubishi (30,000), Renault (30,000) and Tesla (25,000) all have no plans to use Frankenplug anywhere in the world.
GM has sold about 500 EVs, total.