Pegasus said:
TonyWilliams said:
Fresh off the presses!!! The number one reason why GM won't be selling the Spark EV in non-CARB states:
I don't know if I'd go that far. If anything, that's reason for them to make as many as they can for at least the CARB states: so they don't have to buy credits from anyone else.
Typically, manufacturers selling compliance vehicles like the Spark EV lose a TON of money selling them, and GM is certainly no different. A recent post in another forum, "I had a chance recently to play with the "guts" of the Spark EV. The pack is almost exactly the same as a Fisker Karma A123 Amp20 pack except that it is in a different configuration/housing. The cooling plates are on the bottom as they are on the Karma's pack. Pack is rated for 10c (I believe that DC Fast Charge is in the 2-2.5c range) and is 336v.
This thing is a bargain and probably costs Chevrolet 23k to manufacturer (13k in just the battery)".
So, no, it wouldn't make sense to make more of something that costs a manufacturer more to produce that it can recoup in states where regulations don't require that they be sold. No, GM won't likely ever sell the Spark EV in non-CARB states. Just this past fiscal year (ending just a few weeks ago on Sept 30, 2013), GM bought over 500 "grams per mile NMOG" credits from Toyota, in addition to the 368 other credits for ZEV. I'll bet that wasn't cheap!!! GM is the "biggest loser" in this game so far.
Since GM didn't earn any CARB-ZEV for the 2012 & 2013 model years, it could potentially cost them a fortune to buy yet more credits from other manufacturers for 2014 and beyond, from companies like auto manufacturer Tesla who made over $60 million selling those credits so far and Toyota, with whom GM already spent a small fortune. That's where the Spark EV comes in.
For model years 2012 to 2014, for GM to meet the CARB-ZEV 0.79% credit threshold, they need to cover 150,000 oil cars sold each year in California = 450,000 oil cars total * 0.79% ZEV credit = 3555 / 3 credits per 100 mile ZEV range car = 1185 Spark EVs (minimum) sold in California for those three model years. This is very close to what Honda must sell, for instance, with the Fit EV compliance car, but GM has started very, very late (so late, in fact, that it required the previously mentioned almost 900 total g/mi NMOG credits to be purchased in just one year).
So, whether the Spark EV is the absolute best car on the planet, or not, GM still has to sell 1185 minimum in California for 2012-2014. That means the price has to be low (like the $199 lease deals) to compete for customers against other compliance offerings from Fiat/Chrysler, Ford, Honda, Toyota and soon to be Hyundai (hydrogen car), Mercedes, Kia, Mazda, BMW and VW.
Current and near term CARB-ZEV compliance models:
Manufacturer ..... Model(s)
1. Honda - Fit EV / future Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle (FCEV)
2. Toyota - Rav4 EV / future FCEV
3. Chry/Fiat - Fiat 500e
4. GM - Spark EV
5. Ford - Focus EV
6. Daimler - Smart ED / B-Class ED / future FCEV
7. BMW - i3 / future FCEV
8. Nissan - LEAF / future FCEV (why, I have no idea... they sell ZEV credits)
9. VW - eGolf
10. Hyundai - FCEV
11. Kia - Soul EV
12. Mazda - Demio? EV
Note: neither Mitsubishi, nor Tesla are required to comply. Some, like Land Rover and Fuji Heavy Industries/Subaru are exempt
The game is heating up in the CARB game, and we are all the pawns.
... I hope that their placing an "as-sold" order with GM directly will register on the mothership's demand meter so they'll be that much more inclined to offer them nationwide.
Not going to happen.